May 18, 2013

What the results of the Florida GOP Primary mean (really)…

Mitt Romney won the state of Florida’s GOP Primary, and we congratulate him – To paraphrase Dr. Ray Stantz in Ghostbusters 2 – “Mr. Romney, you’ll be happy to know that almost 33% of our staff voted for you in the Primary…”

That being said, as the staff sat around the conference table on Wednesday, we asked each other what the GOP Primary showed us both good and bad – here’s what we came up with…

First, we learned that Romney is not a pushover when he is behind the 8 ball. Coming off of a pretty crummy showing in South Carolina, Romney was determined to make a good showing in Florida and did so. He exercised good strategy in spending a massive amount of money in the more populous areas for advertising. Outspending Gingrich by 5 to 1*, Romney blanketed the airwaves, and his numbers in these areas showed the results.

Second, we learned that Romney can get Florida Republican voters. Well, half of them at least – in the areas where there is a large portion of Republicans of a more moderate demeanor. This worked well for Romney in the Primary, where only Republicans were able to vote. Florida (particularly SOUTH Florida) has had a tremendous upsurge in voters who have switched their party from Republican to Independent. Like much of the country, this switch in Party affiliation is not to demonstrate ‘Centrism’ but instead to voice a lack of confidence in the Republican Party’s Conservativism. While this bodes well for a Republican candidate in the General election, Gingrich and Santorum were much more heavily favored in his group. It should also be noted that despite an increase in membership numbers, the Republican Party is now the 3rd Party in Broward County from a membership perspective.  The independents are often members of conservative grassroots organizations such as 9/12 and the Tea Party and their focus is constitutional Conservativism, which is by all indications is to the right of where the bulk of Romney’s platform sits.

Also, we learned that Romney can perform well in a debate. Romney took Gingrich to task during the Florida Debate about the negative ads that Newt’s campaign had run. Instead of taking the most expeditious and genteel route, an immediate apology, Gingrich responded with further attack, giving Romney greater latitude. Furthermore, Romney was able to justify the significant attack ad spend as a response to Gingrich’s truculent attitude in the debate. It was a well-played debate by Romney, and may have cost Gingrich all 50 of the Florida Delegates (at least at the time of this writing). Gingrich is normally very strong in a debate, but had an off night, and came under serious attack. We will state for the record that BOTH Romney and Gingrich are entirely too thin skinned in the debates. All of the candidates are politically experienced, and should be beyond this kind of rattling

Finally, we learned that Romney is good on the economy, but will run into difficulties with the Government-provided healthcare issue. Senator Rick Santorum pointed this out in the debate, and it is likely that no matter how many times Romney says he will make the repeal of Obamacare his primary mission; all it will take is Obama demonstrating the similarities between the Massachusetts plan and the Federal Plan to effectively hamstring Romney’s arguments. Romney needs to strengthen his case on this issue.

The primary also showed us that Gingrich can rally Tea Party support, but that he needs a more effective ground team in each of the states. We also learned that establishment Republicans are worried about having Gingrich as the Republican nominee. It can be inferred that this concern is due to his knowledge of the way things work in DC. Bottom line, they won’t be able to pull one over on Gingrich. Gingrich has need of a good, trustworthy, consistent ground team – and it is not too late to have one. If he gets that in the next few weeks then FL becomes a hiccup, rather than an ulcer.

Additionally we learned that Santorum can give a good accounting of himself when he is given the chance, but that unless he is able to canvass the state, his election performance will be curtailed.  Santorum has strong convictions, and is, by all acounts, a very ‘nice guy’.  Some of the moderate elements of the Republican ‘Big Tent’ have differences of opinion with his personal beliefs, but outside of Florida that group will not be as significant. 

The Florida GOP Primary was tough for many of our staff to watch, because every one of the candidates has one or two (or several) supporters on our team. All of the candidates have strengths and despite our internal preferences, we are all committed to supporting the eventual nominee when the National GOP Primary process has been completed. Each of us has our own “favorite” candidate, but we recognize that this election is too important to let our 20% differences derail efforts to turn this country from the dangerous path it is on.

Hopefully all Republicans, both Moderate and Conservative will be able to accomplish that same unification when the dust from the GOP Primary has settled!

Keep Watch! 

*There is a rumor going around that Romney spent 65 to 1 against Gingrich - all our research shows this to be very skewed mathematics.

Mitt Romney ramps it up in downtown Naples

The clock is counting down to Florida’s Republican Primary election day. With less than 48 hours remaining Former Governor Mitt Romney looked confident and poised as he addressed a crowd of over 2,000 attendees in the heart of downtown Naples, FL.

Romney took time to introduce his family before beginning his speech. Despite the numerous polls showing a significant Romney lead vs. Newt Gingrich, the former Governor criticized Gingrich’s explanations for the Florida polling saying “ The excuses are over and it’s time to produce.”

Although Romney directed a portion of his speech at Barack Obama, he first talked about Gingrich’s work with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac citing it as the real reason for the former Speaker’s polling numbers in Florida “Your problem in Florida is that you worked for Freddie Mac, at a time when Freddie Mac was not doing the right thing for the American People.”

Romney went on to strike out at the President, and gave his word that Obamacare is first on his list – “On my first say I want to appeal ObamaCare and get back to free people making free choices for their own healthcare…”

The audience cheered and applauded throughout the speech, and Romney seemed very much at ease, secure in a victory indicated by many polls. With multiple ads running in every media, Romney has made a significant media spend in Florida with the assumption that it will narrow the field.

Gingrich however has made it clear that he is in it for the long haul, and will go all the way to the convention.

Both Romney and Gingrich have drawn sizable crowds in Florida, and many of those in the crowd today were from other parts of the country, and will be preparing for their own state’s primary dates.

For the Romney campaign, it was a positive day , and the GOP candidate’s mood and attitude clearly demonstrated that he believes the state is already a victory.

We’ll keep watch!

Romney and Gingrich play into media’s hands during Republican Debate.

Jacksonville, FL – January 26th, 2012 –  Tonight, ALL the Republican candidates lost the 2nd of Florida’s Republican Debates. 

The final tally from the mainstream media will most likely show that Mitt Romney was the clear victor in the battle of words in this 2nd Florida Debate held on the University of North Florida campus.  They will most likely state that Rick Santorum was fiery, passionate and eleqount (they will say so with a measure of surprise).  Finally the mainstream media will say that it was an abysmal night for Newt Gingrich, and they will completely fail to even notice that Ron Paul was on the stage except as comic relief.

What will not be seen is the evil snickers and hand rubbing going on in the production rooms of mainstream media nationwide, as the two top Republican contenders allowed themselves to be lead by the moderator into tearing each other to shreds.  Sadly Newt and Mitt fell for it… hook, line, and sinker.

Liberal bias in the majority of the mainstream media is well documented and has been well-covered in a number of books, such as Bernard Goldberg’s “A Slobbering Love Affair” , Ann Coulter’s “Demonic: How the Liberal Mob is Endangering America“, Michelle Malkin’s “Culture of Corruption“, and Dick Morris’ “Catastrophe“.  (All of these are exceptional books and are true eye openers).  What is not being recognized though, is the more subtle efforts to lead Republicans and Conservatives into destroying each other.

Tonight’s debate was a prime example.  Gingrich and Romney, (both of whom I have profound respect for their experience and success) allowed themselves to fall for a rookie mistake.  They let the moderator, Wolf Blitzer, control the course of the debate, and both Romney and Gingrich allowed their egos to get in the way of the goal for ALL Republicans, a Republican President in the next election. 

Instead of  running into the deadfall set up by the media, both Gingrich and Romney had the opportunity to take a higher, nobler road.  Gingrich could have taken that road by apologizing for his immigration attack ad on Romney by saying “You know, that ad was probably not in the best of taste, I apologize, Mitt.” then holding out his hand in friendship.  Romney instead of saying “I doubt that’s my ad” in reference to his ad attacking Gingrich, could have said “You know, I know that things have been getting intense the farther along in this Primary”. Both Romney and Gingrich would have shown themselves to be the bigger man, and it would have been the “Presidential” thing to do.

Sadly, even when Former Senator Rick Santorum pointed out after a Romney vs. Gingrich interchange on  Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac…

“The bigger issue here is, these two gentlemen, who are out distracting from the most important issues we have been playing petty personal politics, can we set aside that Newt was a member of Congress and used the skills that he developed as a member of Congress to go out and advise companies — and that’s not the worst thing in the world — and that Mitt Romney is a wealthy guy because worked hard and he’s going out and working hard? And you guys should that alone and focus on the issues.” 

… the friendly fire still continued between Romney and Gingrich – fueled by questions from the moderator, Wolf Blitzer.  Santorum was right on target with his assessment, and it should have set off alarm bells for the other two, but they continued to make thrills go up the collective legs of the Mainstream media.

All the Republican Presidential candidates are experienced leaders, and have had measures of success, but the Mainstream media has a liberal bent.  The Mainstream Media is NOT looking to put up the strongest, best Republican up against Obama.  They want the eventual Republican candidate, whomever that may be, to be a wounded, tired candidate, so that it is less of a fight for Obama.

To all the Republican Presidential candidates: Be “Presidential“!  Let your words and interchanges match the traditional respect of the office you aspire to!  Americans WANT a leader who will be willing to sacrifice his ego to bring the country back on track.  Americans have had enough of the arrogance and eliteism of many politicians and public figures.  Stop falling for the traps and barbs of the Mainstream media!  The four candidates need to get together in a private meeting and be heroic by agreeing to only focus on the issues. 

The mainstream media will continue to attempt to play ‘gotcha’ journalism.  They will continue to cackle gleefuly when a Republican trips up, and plot questions to ensnare the candidates and distract from the issues.  The Republican candidates, especially the frontrunners, Romney and Gingrich have to keep their eyes on the goal, rather than on petty squabbles.

In the war of words, Romney won the debate tonight, but in the battle for the votes and hearts of  Republican and Conservative voters nationwide the Mainstream media scored a significant blow.  That blow from the mainstream media does not have to be fatal if the Republican Candidates can focus on the issues, and put ego aside. 

Kudos to Rick Santorum for seeing the trap, now it’s up to all of the GOP Primary candidates to avoid that trap. 

We’ll all be watching to see what happens!

Gingrich makes his mark on the Republican Primary map – with an exclamation point

It’s a whole new ball game, and Newt Gingrich just impersonated Casey Jones by crushing a home run right over the South Carolina center field wall. The South Carolina Primary is now a matter of history, but it was a victory for Newt Gingrich that will go on far beyond the “Palmetto State”.

A year ago, Michelle Bachmann was the candidate to beat, and there was speculation that Sarah Palin may be getting into the Republican Primary. Six months ago, Herman Cain was viewed as the frontrunning Republican Candidate, and the candidate with the best chance of beating Obama. Five months ago, Rick Perry was the strong candidate that the Republican Party needed. And one month ago Romney had the Republican Primary locked up… no one else had a chance. Apparently, someone forgot to give Newt the memo that he wasn’t going to be in the race…

At the South Carolina Debate, Former Speaker Gingrich was pitched a spitball of a question by CNN’s John King, and if you didn’t get a chance to see it before, you should definitely take a look at it now:


Thanks to MoxNews.com for posting this video on YouTube

Regardless of your personal feelings towards Gingrich’s divorces, his criticism of the question was understandable. The fiery response he gave was well received by the audience, and showed a fighting spirit that many voters nationwide say they have been looking for in the Republican candidates. It should also be noted that the wife of moderator and CNN personality John King, is Dana Bash, the reporter who seemingly expressed bias in a statement about the Ron Paul campaign:

I’m hearing from Republicans, John, who are affiliated with other campaigns that they are amazed at how wonderful, frankly, that they say the Ron Paul organization is, we’ll see if that actually bears out tomorrow – but in terms of the long term, there’s no question- I’m sure that you talk to Republicans, who are worried as well, just like I am, that Ron Paul will continue on long into the spring and summer and even further even if he runs as a Republican or as an Independent he could really hurt whomever the Republican nominee is because still, nobody thinks even if he does well here in New Hampshire that he will ultimately be the nominee…

In the days after the debate, Gingrich vigorously stumped through South Carolina, talking with voters, encouraging people to come out, and even meeting them at the drive thru window of a Chic-fil-a restaurant. 
(It should be noted that Chic-fil-a is also one of our staff’s favorite places to eat, and is a tremendous place to take the ones you love!  The Political Watchman staff will not endorse a Republican candidate for President, but we FULLY endorse Chic-fil-a restaurants!)


On Primary Day, South Carolina voters expressed their support for Gingrich at the ballot box, and demonstrated how strong of a candidate they believe he is. Gingrich amassed 40.4% of the vote, racking up a double digit victory over Former Governor Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, and Ron Paul.

All the candidates showed class and style by congratulating each other in their closing speeches, but Gingrich went the extra mile by outlining some of his plans, and voicing significant criticism of Obama’s failed policies and negotiations. See for yourself:

The battle for the Republican Nomination is still in it’s early innings, and Romney, Santorum and Paul are still in the game, but the home run that Gingrich hit on January 21st could turn the Republican Primary into a shutout. 

Keep Watch!

Romney gets Huntsman, Gingrich gets Perry – Will either make a difference in South Carolina?

On Monday, Republican Primary Candidate John Huntsman, after stepping out of the Republican Primary race, endorsed Mitt Romney as his choice for the Republican Nominee.  On Thursday, Texas Governor Rick Perry withdrew from the race, and went on to endorse Newt Gingrich for the Republican Nomination, saying, “I have no question that Newt Gingrich has the heart of a conservative reformer, the ability to rally and captivate the conservative movement. The courage to tell those Washington interests to take a hike if that’s what’s in the best interest of our country” .  The question becomes are either of these endorsements going to matter?

Let’s take a look at the numbers – In Iowa, Romney and Huntsman combined total percentage equals 25.1%.  Gingrich and Perry total percentage equals 23.6% .  That is definitely very close, but not a “barn burner” by any stretch of the imagination. Moving on to the New Hampshire Primary, Romney and Huntsman combined percentage is 56.2% while Gingrich and Perry combined equals 11.1% - which is what we in the political circles like to call “a landslide”. 

With the South Carolina  Primary happening tonite, Romney showing poorly after Gingrich’s impressive South Carolina Debate appearance, the news of Rick Santorum’s squeaking victory in Iowa over Romney, and the dark horse, Ron Paul, consistently pulling approximately a third of the vote in each primary – the endorsements may be  important, but are hardly game changers.

Of the candidates still in the race, the only one who has NOT won a state thus far in the Republican Primary is Ron Paul, but it is unlikely that Paul is going to be swayed from his beliefs or his committement to providing an alternative to the other 3 candidates, so don’t expect him to drop out.   The South Carolina Primary is going to an important deciding factor on who the next candidate is to get “voted off the island”.

Like you, we will be following “The Palmetto State” Primary with great interest today, and looking for the cues that will indicate this 4 man race is ready to move to a 3 or even 2 candidate choice!  We took at the vote here at the Political Watchman, and our guess is that the victor will be Santorum or Gingrich – Santorum if South Carolina is more concerned about the Social aspects, and Gingrich if South Carolina is more concerned about the Economic aspects.  Either way it’s not going to be Romney, and if Paul has a good showing then the race continues to be high entertainment!

Keep Watch!

Mitt Romney rallies to South Florida

West Palm Beach, Fl - Noon- Jan 12, 2012 - With the South Carolina Primary a little over a week away, Republican Candidate Mitt Romney gave  a significant show of confidence for the South Carolina Primary by breaking from the campaign there to show up at a rally in West Palm Beach, FL today.   Introduced by Florida CFO Jeff Atwater, and speaking to a smiling crowd of  a little over 300 attendees, containing more than a few people of the Jewish faith, the Republican Primary Candidate had some well-aimed criticisms of  the President’s foreign policy towards Israel, the U.S. Economy, and some insights into the heart of America.

Romney started off by mentioning that Barack Obama had made a correct statement at a fundraiser held in Chicago on Wednesday. “The President said …’Change is coming!’ Romney quoted and then stated,  “… he got that right, for once!”  Cheers erupted from the crowd, and Romney spoke on –  ”We are going to get the change we’re looking for and it’s not Barack Obama, I believe it’s going to be Mitt Romney”.

Romney was critical of Obama’s failed foreign policy in Iran, and noted the hypocracy of Obama criticizing the Bush adminstration for building deficits that were “too large” while the President amassed even larger deficits in his own administration.  “We cannot have a President that spends massively more than we take in… it’s immoral, it’s wrong, it must stop!” Romney stated.

“President has failed the American People” said Romney citing the 8.5% unemployment -  An unemployment number that Obama had promised to stay under when pushing through the $750 billion dollar stimulus package. Romney promised  ”My job is to get Americans back to work”

Romney talked going through the budgetary spending program by program and determining it’s value, and in many cases making them stand on their own- programs like the National Endowment for the Arts, and PBS.  He also stated that some programs would be easy to pull the plug on – namely “Obamacare”. 

Significant applause occured when Mitt Romney hit on a theme very popular with “old school” Conservatives - energy independence, and making full use of the natural resources present in the United States.  He mentioned this when speaking of how to bring back or raise up “job creators”.  Romney stated strongly, “You also take advantage of something we have in abundance – oil, natural gas, coal – it is time for us to be energy secure!”  The message obviously resonated.

Former Governor Romney spoke on the Declaration of Independence and that the foundation of America is a “Merit-Based Society” and that Obama “wants to make us more like a European Welfare state” <Insert massive booing from crowd here> “ where the role of govenment…takes from some to redistribute it to others…” Romney continued “.. and that ‘Entitlement Society” would change the nature of America.  That is why he [Obama] has said he wants to ‘fundementally transform’ America… I don’t want to ‘transform’ America, I want to RESTORE toAmerica the principles that made it the hope of the Earth!”  The crowd responded by chanting “Mitt!” for several minutes.

Near the end of his address, Romney remembered to address a very significant many of those in attendance - the special relationship between Israel and the United States “Oh by the way…this President has found it to be ‘acceptable’ to be critical of our friends…” Romney continued “… He [Obama] went to the United Nations and criticized Israel for building settlements, but had nothing to say about Hamas launching thousands of rockets into Israel!  If I am President of the United States, we will stand with our friends!”

It was a very strong appearance for the frontrunning GOP candidate, in what could be a very influential and profitable area of Florida.  Mitt Romney gave every appearance of being  prepared to deliver on a statement made in the midst of his address  ”Just after his inauguration Obama was on the Today show saying that if  I can’t turn the situtation around in 3 years I’ll be looking at a one term proposition… We’re here to collect”!

In the coming weeks, it will be exciting to see how the race between Mitt Romney, Ron Paul, Rick Santorum, Newt Gingrich and the remaining field of Republican Candidates shakes out!  Florida is a necessity for taking the Republican Nomination, a fact that each of the candidates seems to have firmly in mind… Keep Watch!

 

 

The New Hampshire Primary Results

The New Hampshire Primary featured six Republican Presidential Candidates, as Michelle Bachmann had withdrawn from the Republican Primary after the Iowa Caucus. The results of the vote were significant win for Former Governor Mitt Romney, and a significant showing for Ron Paul. John Huntsmann arrived in 3rd place with a surprisingly unexpected showing. Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum tied for the fourth place spot. Rick Perry had a negligible response, and though the Perry campaign had shown early strength, after the results were released Perry’s campaign gave indications that they were preparing to suspend efforts.

dyerware.com


Wasserman-Schultz calls Romney ‘wounded’ and steams about Tea Party

Debbie Wasserman-Schultz as Chairperson of the DNC has spent the past few days making strong statements about Presidential Candidate Mitt Romney and the effects of the grassroots movement known as the Tea Party.

While inteviewing Mitt Romney on her show Starting Point,  Soledad O’Brien noted comments made by the DNC Chairwoman. Wasserman Schultz referred to Romney’s performance in New Hampshire, stating that despite his victory in the voting – “…he [Romney] came out of this primary as a wounded candidate…”

 Wasserman Schultz made those sentiments at a ‘Politics and Eggs’ breakfast hosted by both the New Hampshire Institute of Politics and The New England Council.

With much appreciation to their services TPW recognizes that this video is provided courtesy of C-SPAN

A few minutes later in that same event the DNC Chairwoman Wasserman Schultz responded to the question “The American People are losing faith in Congress, I think it is because of a lack of civility, What can be done to bring back that civility?” by blaming the effects and actions of the grassroots Tea Party movement for the shootings in Tuscon and the majority of incivility in American Politics today.  Her comments though seemingly hesitant, left no doubt on her opinion of where the fault lies for the questioned ‘incivility’:

“… we need to make sure that we tone things down particularly in light of the Tuscon tragedy of a year ago…the discourse in America has really changed… I hesitate to place blame, but I have noticed it take a very precipitous turn toward edginess and the lack of civility with the growth of the Tea Party Movement…” – Debbie Wasserman Schultz, DNC Chairwoman – Jan. 11th, 2012

With much appreciation to their services TPW recognizes that this video is provided courtesy of C-SPAN

It is well known that the job of the Chairpersons of both the DNC and the RNC is to promote or spin for thier own political Party, but by her statements regarding Former Gov. Romney’s performance and her odious malignment of the Tea Party,  Wasserman Schultz has apparently taken ‘spin’ to mean ‘lie’.   It may be that the DNC Chairwoman just does not have all the facts, and in the interest of education and keeping the record straight, this article will attempt to correct her ’spin’.

Wasserman Schultz has mentioned numerous times that because of his showing in the New Hampshire Republican Primary, Mitt Romney is a ‘wounded candidate’.  Yet Romney’s 39.3% final vote percentage is higher that Barack Obama’s 36.45% final vote, and even higher than Hillary Clinton’s 39.09% final vote during the ‘Live Free or Die’ state’s 2008 Democratic Primary.  It should also be noted that Debbie Wasserman Schultz was a strong supporter of the former First Lady’s candidacy, so perhaps she is just jealous of  Candidate Romney’s numbers.

The comments and presumtions made by the DNC Chairwoman concerning the effects and actions of the Tea Party are significantly more deceptive and vitriolic.  Though Liberal/Progressives  continously refer to the grassroots Tea Party movement as “violent’, ‘extremist’, and ’dangerous’,  the incidence of  verified (not speculated or implied) violence occuring at the THOUSANDS of Tea Party events held nationwide in the past few years is below 20 incidents.  Furthermore, attributing the tragic shooting of Representative Gabrielle Giffords to the grassroots Tea Party movement is irresponsible and malignant.  The shooter in that incident (we will not mention his name here due to the disgust it causes our staff and hopefully our readers) has been thoroughly investigated and has been found to be a mentally unstable, anarchistic, anti-government, and a convicted drug offender, with no ties to any local or nationwide Tea Party organization.  

By contrast, the effects and efforts of the ”Occupy” Movement have been supported byDebbie Wasserman Schultz.  The DNC Chairwoman has stated in an inteview on MSNBC about the ‘Occupy’ protesters, “We understand their frustration, we applaud their activism …”.  The ‘Occupy’ Movement has only been  active worldwide for about 6 months, but has already had hundreds of verified incidents of violence, including several incidents of rape, incidents of sex with a minor, incidents of drug distribution and use,  at least one murder, and one suicide.

The comments of Debbie Wasserman Schultz have not just been disturbing to a great number of Republicans nationwide, it has also gotten attention (and a tirade or two) from some none-too-pleased radio personalities as well.  On Glenn Beck’s network, Radio Hosts Pat Gray and Stu Burguiere had some choice words about the DNC Chairwoman.  Here is the clip from their 4th Hour program (you really should watch this):

We hesitate to say so, but that clip is irreverantly funny…

 

The criticisms and opinions of Debbie Wasserman Schultz have continued to bounce around the Medias, both online and across the airwaves. She will probably continue to speak out without worry of her position, since she is quite frequently towing the Democrat Party line, and since this election season has failed to produce a viable Republican candidate to run against her in her home Congressional District, CD-20 FL.  It may be though, that out of the very grassroots Tea Party movement she blames, a candidate will stand up to challenge her, saving the ears and the blood-pressure of the majority of Republicans nationwide.

Until then, journalists and bloggers will have to continue to exercise their First Amendment rights, to keep educating and informing Party Chairpeople and citizens alike!

Keep Watch!

 

 

The Iowa Caucus Results

The Iowa Caucus was the first indicator on the Republican Primary Race. The chart below gives the final vote percentages. Initially, it appeared that Former Governor Mitt Romney had secured victory, but after a recount, Former Senator Rick Santorum was determined to be the winner. After a 6th place result, Rep. Michelle Bachmnann withdrew from the Republican Primary Race.

dyerware.com


Increase your website traffic with Attracta.com